The problem considered is the estimation of the parameters in the mixed model of the analysis of variance, assuming normality of the random effects and errors. Both asymptotic properties of such estimates as the size of the design increases and numerical procedures for their calculation are discussed. Estimation is carried out by the method of maximum likelihood. It is shown that there is a sequence of roots of the likelihood equations which is consistent, asymptotically normal and...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Miller, John James, STANFORD UNIV CA DEPT OF STATISTICS, *ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE,...

The purpose of the thesis was to assess the use of constant nonavailable time estimates in the determination of Air Force manpower standards. Analysis of data from several sources revealed significant differences in the amount of time personnel in the various pay grades (military and civilian) were available for primary duty. The effect upon manpower standards caused by the use of erroneous availability estimates is simulated through the application of various estimates to a work center. The...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Simms, Ernest H, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND...

A study of the effects on the population failure rate of component failures during the period of transition to steady state is presented. Comparisons between the simulated failure rates and the system failure rate predicted under the present Air Force assumption on an underlying Poisson process are accomplished for various MTBF's and parameters of the Weibull distribution. The decreasing hazard, constant hazard, and increasing hazard functions are studied and presented. The study was performed...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Erickson, Richard F, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...

To resupply the International Space Station (ISS) with the items to support continuous human occupation and hardware to maintain system functionality, scientific experiments are necessary to maximize its potential as a world-class research laboratory. The transition of this function to the commercial sector under Firm Fixed-Price contracting has forced both NASA and commercial providers to adjust to make this effort successful. Improving bag-level cargo launch manifests delivered from NASA to...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Rarick,Douglas A, Naval Postgraduate School Monterey United States, monte carlo...

Joint Generalized Least Squares is an extension of least squares techniques which decreases statistical uncertainty in derived regression equations. The technique is applied to historical costs for airframes, avionics, and engines in fighter aircraft. A comparison is made of parametric cost estimating relationships derived using ordinary and Joint Generalized Least Squares to demonstrate reductions in statistical uncertainty.

Topics: DTIC Archive, O'Brien, Patrick W, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF...

The subject matter of this work is minimax parameter estimation. In the present chapter the author intorduces some basic concepts and definitions from the theory of parameter estimation and through these arrives at the results and techniques which are used to search for minimax solutions to parameter estimation problems.

Topics: DTIC Archive, Antonio, Rafael, Lovera, Padilla, ILLINOIS UNIV AT URBANA COORDINATED SCIENCE LAB,...

The regenerative method for stochastic system simulation allows data collection each time the stochastic process enters a specific single state, r, called the regeneration state. The generated observations have the desireable property of being independent and identically distributed. Relative to a fixed run length, however, the mean time between entries into r may be excessively long for complicated stochastic systems, thus providing few observations and poor variance estimates. The almost...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Gunther, Francis L, CALIFORNIA UNIV BERKELEY OPERATIONS RESEARCH CENTER, *NETWORK...

This study deals with the estimation of parameter(s) of binomial or multinomial distribution using the data available at the termination of a sequential experiment.

Topics: DTIC Archive, Chandra, Ramesh, UNION COLL AND UNIV SCHENECTADY NY INST OF ADMINISTRATION AND...

Applications of the general linear model in experimental design and analysis usually involve design matrices of less than full column rank. This may present a problem in determining what elements and functions of the parameter vector are estimable and what hypotheses are testable. This thesis discusses two methods of answering questions about estimability and testability, where the form of the design matrix determines the method to be used. The two methods, both of which can use computer...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Johnson, John E, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *MATRICES(MATHEMATICS),...

This thesis presents a discussion of the problems involved in estimation of Circular Error Probable (CEP). Several estimators are compared through simulation, under two models; the power model and the Rayleigh model. Several measures of effectiveness are calculated for each of the competing estimators. It is found that maximum likelihood estimation based on the power distribution performs well for heavy tailed distributions; the Rayleigh unbiased estimator performs well for most other...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Chen, Tzu-Ming, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *CIRCULAR ERROR PROBABLE,...

Analog tropical cyclone forecasting techniques inherently include some mean interaction of the cyclone with its synoptic environment. This investigation seeks to relate current synotic features to storm displacement. The objective forecasting technique, Model Output Statistics (MOS), along with the so called ridged regression biased estimator are used to predict recurvature or non-recurvature of tropical cyclones. Corrections to an analog forecast position are also predicted. It is shown that a...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Little, Robert E, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *STATISTICS, *TROPICAL...

The estimation of the parameters of a linear statistical model is generally accomplished by the method of least squares. However, when the method of least squares is applied to nonorthogonal problems the resulting estimates may be significantly different from the true parameters. The method of ridge regression may provide better estimates in these cases; however, a probability distribution of the ridge estimator is presently not known. The form of such a distribution is dependent upon how the...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Lewis, Edgar B, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *REGRESSION ANALYSIS, BAYES...

The estimate of software development cost is the key piece of information in many software management decisions. No technique exists which can consistently produce the reliable and accurate cost estimates which managers need. This thesis research effort explored the software cost estimating process at the Electronic Systems Division of the Air Force Systems Command. The purpose of the research was to provide managers, researchers, and cost estimators with a better insight into the cost...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Devenny, Thomas J., AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSONAFB OH SCHOOL OF...

In the present work, some aspects of digital communications over channels with memory are studied. The basic objective is to model channels with memory and to develop more efficient and reliable communication techniques over such channels. In particular, the receiver design problem for channels with memory is considered and then the relationship of receivers and channel models is examined. In the receiver design problem, fading is assumed to be the source of channel memory. First, the idea of...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Varshney,Pramod Kumar, ILLINOIS UNIV AT URBANA-CHAMPAIGN COORDINATED SCIENCE LAB,...

This thesis examines a proposed empirical method for determining the 100 (1-alpha) per cent lower confidence limit for the reliability of a system composed of a mixture of series and parallel connected components for which only component level test data is available. The method is an extension of the Log- gamma procedure originally proposed for series connected systems only. The accuracy of the method is assessed for some representative system reliability constructs using a computer simulation...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Gatliffe, Thomas R, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *CONFIDENCE LIMITS,...

A cost model to estimate support costs in the Philippine Army is developed. Leontief's input-output technique is appraised for applicability in the cost model. A role for input-output cost models is related with cost analysis. In discussing the data aspects of the cost model, the use of proxy variables and their validation are presented. Correlation analysis is suggested as a tool for choosing a valid proxy variable. The matter of fixed costs is discussed also, and its treatment in the cost...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Mariano,Clemente Pionilla, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *COST MODELS,...

The acquisition of flight simulators has been plagued by cost growth difficulties arising from poor initial cost estimates. A parametric costing model for simulator acquisition was perceived as a tool which could provide required cost estimates early in the acquisition process. This research effort utilized multiple regression analysis to formulate a parametric costing model or cost estimating relationship (CER) for specific application to flight simulator acquisition. A significant...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Ross,Milton C, Yarger,Gerald L, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO...

This research documents the process of production management employed in the Mare Island Naval Shipyard in seeking adherence to schedules during the non-nuclear portion of the overhaul of nuclear submarines. In addition to recording the process details for future students, the author also demonstrates some of the problems confronting managers in all naval shipyards. The author first profiles the history, mission, and organization of this Naval Shipyard, then develops the process constraints of...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Eckstein,Eric Rockhill, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *MANAGEMENT...

In the initial stages of development of a weapon system it is impossible to know with complete certainty what the final outcome of the weapon system will be in terms of completion time, costs, and performance. The authors describe the following techniques for assessing subjective probability: Choice-Between-Gambles, Standard Lottery, Modified Churchman-Ackoff, Delphi, DeGroot Consensus, and Direct Estimation. The following criteria are being used: ease of application, adaptability and...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Grayson,Anthony S, Lanclos,Harold J, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO...

Previous studies into airframe acquisition cost estimation do not explicitly recognize the existence of correlation in the historical data. If one believes this data problem exists, then it is possible to develop a components of variance model that takes the problem into account. It is a more general model that recognizes two sources of error: (1) error due to different types of airframes and (2) overall or ordinary regression error. The variance of these two errors can be estimated and then...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Marcotte,Ronald C, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF...

The asymptotic properties of generalized nearest neighbor rules and other nonparametric discrimination rules are investigated. The problem is to estimate an M-ary valued parameter theta if an observed random vector X and data consisting of a sequence of independent random vectors (X sub 1, theta sub 1) (X sub n, theta sub n) with the same distrubition as (X, theta) are given. Conditions are given under which the rules are asymptotically optimal. Consistent density estimates can be used to...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Devroye,Luc P J A, TEXAS UNIV AT AUSTIN DEPT OF ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING,...

The problem of tracking submarine targets with passive sonobuoys is mathematically modelled. A comprehensive study is made of all the information available in the acoustic signals picked up by the sonobuoys and of the usefulness of this information in the estimation process. The presence of nonlinearities in the tracking model leads to the application of nonlinear estimation theory. Bayes formulation concepts are applied to generate approximate solutions and filtering algorithms, and the well...

Topics: DTIC Archive, da Cunha, Marcilio B, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *INFORMATION THEORY,...

The principle of image estimation in the presence of linear and nonlinear observations is considered in this dissertation and a recursive estimation algorithm is developed. The development proceeds from the assumptions that the image is statistically characterized by its first two moments namely the mean and the autocorrelation while the observation is allowed to be a general function of the signal and noise. A two step recursive estimation procedure, compatible with the logical structure of...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Naraghi, Manouher, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES IMAGE PROCESSING...

Automatic computer determination of object boundaries has attracted many researchers in the various areas of image processing for some time. The concept of boundary determination is basically motivated by problems in textural analysis (a subject in scene analysis) and robotics (a subject in artificial intelligence). In this dissertation, an object boundary estimator, applicable to a class of noisy images, will be introduced. The images considered will contain an object of interest within the...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Jahanshahi, Mohammad H, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES IMAGE...

The restoration of color errors in digitally recorded color images is considered in this dissertation. A vector space model of a general digital color image recording system is derived and the equations representing the model and the equations of colorimetry are expressed in matrix form. Computer algorithms are derived which correct color errors introduced by imperfections in the color recording system. The sources of color error which are considered include sensor spectral responses which...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Mancill, Clanton E, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES IMAGE PROCESSING...

Three Sequential Likelihood Ratio Tests were constructed to choose between two values of the scale parameter (theta) of a Weibull distribution with a location parameter of zero, an unknown shape parameter (K) replaced by its maximum likelihood estimate, and error bounds of 0.05, 0.10, 0.15, and 0.20. The first two tests were based upon a general procedure for sequential tests for a parameter in the presence of a nuisance parameter by D. R. Cox in Sankhya A, Vol. 25. This method replaces the...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Hoffert,Richard L, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF...

This paper introduces several data analysis routines that were designed for interactive use with APL (A Programming Language) and placed in the APL user library at the Naval Postgraduate School. Specifically, histograms, density estimation and probability plotting routines are both explained in detail and demonstrated with actual data. In addition, applications and limitations on each of the routines are explored. And, the combined routines give the general user an extensive tool to analyze...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Hutchinson,Dennis Roy, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *PROGRAMMING...

An investigation of the forecasts of aeronautical price indices done by the Aeronautical Systems Division (ASD) of the Air Force Systems Command was performed. The historical price indices used by ASD were recalculated. Using these recalculated composite price indices, different forecasting techniques were examined. When starting with the composite price indices, the per cent change regression, with the Gross Mational Product price deflator as the only independent variable, was recommended as...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Lennertz,Thomas P, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF...

The asymptotic behavior of parameter estimates and the identification and modeling of dynamical systems are investigated. Measures of the relevant information in a given sequence of observations are defined and shown to possess useful properties, such as the metric property on the parameter set. The convergence of maximum likelihood and related Bayesian estimates for general observation sequences is investigated. The situation where the true parameter is not a member of a given parameter set is...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Baram, Yoram, MASSACHUSETTS INST OF TECH CAMBRIDGE ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS LAB,...

Analysts conducting experiments must frequently deal with situations in which data is incomplete or missing. This creates problems that can seriously affect classical hypothesis testing by introducing extraneous terms into the hypothesis in a complicated way. A technique exists that allows an analyst to determine precisely which experimental terms are actually present in a proposed hypothesis and what that hypothesis would actually be testing if employed. This paper examines the mathematics...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Walls,William Hammond, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *MATHEMATICAL...

The relative efficiency of three computer search algorithms was compared for searching large bibliographic files with Boolean search strategies. The sequential and inverted files represent the two most common file structures used today for bibliographic searching. Superimposed coding is an alternative that is becoming more attractive as the speed of computers improves. The superimposed search has a key associated with each record in the data base to act as a screen to eliminate the majority of...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Hickey,Thomas Butler, ILLINOIS UNIV AT URBANA-CHAMPAIGN COORDINATED SCIENCE LAB,...

Four theorems are proven, which simplify the application to econometric models of Weiss's theorem on asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators in nonstandard cases. The theorems require, roughly: the uniform convergence in any compact sets of the unknown parameters of the expection of the Hessian matrix of the log likelihood function; and the uniform convergence to 0 in the same sense of the variance of the same quantities. The fourth theorem allows one to conclude that the optimal...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Vickers,Mary Kathleen, CORNELL UNIV ITHACA N Y SCHOOL OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND...

The problem of sensitivity of dynamic systems to changes in parameters is of great importance because, in physical realization of automatic control systems, changes in the parameters always are encountered -- as a result of aging of the elements, effects of the external environment, interactions with other systems, etc. Contemporary automatic control systems often are realized as systems of variable structure where the possibility of varying the parameters of the system is specially introduced...

Topics: DTIC Archive, De Sa,Erwin, ILLINOIS UNIV AT URBANA-CHAMPAIGN COORDINATED SCIENCE LAB, *ADAPTIVE...

The Life Cycle Cost (LCC) for jet engines includes the cost of design and development, test and evaluation, production, operation and support, and where applicable, disposal. Although only a small portion of the total LCC is incurred prior to production, the decisions made up to that point determine most of the total engine LCC. It is during this early design phase that there is insufficient operational information on the new engine to permit prediction of costs incurred during the operation...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Davidson,George H, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...

The Department of Defense is faced with the task of acquiring new weapon systems. These acquisitions have been characterized by a history of cost growth, while disparities exist among the cost estimates that are made by different organizations. The AF Business Research Management Center believes that few individuals have an overall, detailed perception of how the various cost estimates interrelate and this belief was substantiated by the research. An extensive literature review was...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Lewis,Edwin M, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND...

The Air Force Aero Propulsion Laboratory is currently exploring techniques which may be used to estimate the production costs of gas turbine engines in the conceptual and validation phases of system acquisition. This study served as a part of that on-going exploration and was designed to investigate the relationship of engine section production costs to total production costs of gas turbine engines. The results of this research include the following findings: (1) correlation analysis provides...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Greene,James K, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...

The concept of design to cost requires accurate cost estimation throughout the acquisition process of a major weapon system. Cost estimation is particularly important during the conceptual and validation phases. This research effort was directed toward improving cost estimation techniques for aircraft structures. Previous cost estimates had been derived through the use of a Vehicle Design and Evaluation Program (VDEP) which designed an aircraft structure to a minimum weight for a given set of...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Evans,Ronald L, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...

Cost estimation of USAF major weapon system package sales should be as accurate as possible to assure relationships with foreign customers are not strained. This thesis examines the cost estimation procedure of the F/RF-4 Systems Program Office, Financial Directorate, used to prepare a price and availability (P and A) estimate for Foreign Military Sales (FMS) requests. The study provides an analysis of the coordination process involved in an F/RF-4 P and A request, beginning with the foreign...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Flowers,Charles, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...

The Republic of Korea Air Force obtains follow-on support for their F-4 fleet from a Special Support Arrangement obtained through the United States Air Force Technical Coordination Group. This SSA is renegotiated each year and the ROKAF requires figures on equipment failures in order to be able to stipulate which items require inclusion in the SSA. This thesis shows the development of a management information system in a computer model to output a number of reports which the TCG believes will...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Callahan,William J, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF...

Public Law 94-258 requires that a transportation system capable of moving 350,000 barrels of crude oil per day from Naval Petroleum Reserve Number One, Elk Hills, California, to market be provided by the Navy. Analysis of this law results in the identification of a problem statement to determine the transportation system which provides maximum net revenue considering the differential costs and revenues of the possible alternative pipeline routes. A methodology is proposed under which...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Rabold,Bernard Louis , Jr, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *PIPELINES, *OIL...

The estimation of object boundaries based on noisy observations is considered in the context of joint detection and estimation. The images are expressed as replacement processes and the boundaries modeled in terms of geometrical parameters associated with the object. The images studied have two textures, object and background, characterized by their first and second order statistics. A boundary processor consisting of optima estimator and detector is derived, for an appropriately chosen cost...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Lopez-Mora, Simon, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES IMAGE PROCESSING...

This dissertation investigates the problem of automatic transcription of the hand-keyed Morse signal. A unified model for this signal process transmitted over a noisy channel is shown to be a system in which the state of the Morse process evolves as a memory-conditioned probabilistic mapping of a conditional Markov process, with the state of this process playing the role of a parameter vector of the channel model. The decoding problem is then posed as finding an optimal estimate of the state of...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Bell,Edison Lee, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *BAYES THEOREM, *DECODING,...

Each year, the Department of Defense spends more than three billion dollars on computer software, yet software managers are notoriously unable to predict the cost of software development projects. This is especially true of preliminary cost estimates made during the formative stages of a project. Even when parametric relationships are used, such estimates depend heavily on anology with previously developed systems. The purpose of this research is to investigate ways of gathering and using...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Schneider,John , IV, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF...

Marine safety is a major responsibility of the United States Coast Guard. In carrying out this task, the Coast Guard conducts periodic inspections of existing merchant vessels and supervises construction of new vessels. To support and help promote marine safety, a Vessel Inspection Information System (VIIS) has been proposed. The system would be used to capture design information, inspection data, and other relevant information; store it in a centralized data base; and make the information...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Wilson,Larry Mark, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *INSPECTION,...

Aircraft engine warranties are used extensively in the commercial airlines industry. If the Department of Defense hopes to use warranties as a method of reducing engine life cycle costs, the costs and benefits of each warranty must be carefully analyzed. The methodology developed in this study provides framework to assist analysts in estimating the economic benefits of an engine warranty. A test application of the methodology details the benefits of a hypothetical DOD engine warranty, and...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Dooley,Martin P, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...

The purpose of this research was to determine if military personnel working in an Air Force maintenance specialty could provide accurate quantitative estimates of the physical severity of their work. This research was done in conjunction with the design study to determine methods for establishing criteria for assigning personnel to Air Force jobs requiring heavy/very heavy work. In this research, an interview and observation instrument was developed from the Air Force Specialty, Specialty...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Arbeit,Ferde P, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...

Cost estimation is a wide open area within the Department of Defense and accurate cost estimating models are a valuable tool in the life cycle costing of a weapon system. This research effort utilized multiple linear regression analysis to develop parametric cost models or cost estimating relationships (CERs) for jet engine depot overhaul costs. Both engine operating parameters, e.g., turbine inlet temperature, RPM, etc., and engine physical characteristics, e.g., length, weight etc., were...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Breglio,Robert A , Jr, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF...

This research quantitatively examines the estimating accuracy of over 5000 standardized resource consuming activities from 39 software development projects of various size. The activity data pertaining to planned hour estimates and actual expenditures were collected by an automated project management system (PARMIS) as the data were generated. The dissertation hypothesizes that specific activities can be isolated which consistently have a greater influence on whether a software development...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Gehring,Philip Francis , Jr, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO,...

The upward flow of oil-water-air and oil-water mixtures in a .75 inch I.D. tube is investigated. Flow pattern, volume fraction, and pressure loss data is presented for mixture velocities from 4 to 20 ft/sec and oil in liquid volume fraction from 0 to 1.0. The drift flux method of Zuber and Findley is successfully extended from two phase flow to three phase flow in order to predict the air void while a new correlation method is presented to estimate the In Situ oil phase volume fraction. In...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Shean,Arthur R, MASSACHUSETTS INST OF TECH CAMBRIDGE DEPT OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING,...

This study examined the impact on direct labor requirements resulting from externally caused production rate changes in the T-38/F-5 airframe production program. The basis for the study was the research conducted at the University of Oregon by Lieutenant Colonel Larry L. Smith in 1975-76. He used a modification to the standard learning curve model and devised a procedure to determine the forecasting ability of the model using data from the F-4, F-102, and KC-135 programs. Smith found that...

Topics: DTIC Archive, Congleton, Duane E., AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS...